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This is the final week of legislative activity before the recess, the House may vote on the tax benefits bill, and Lula will attend the Mercosur meeting on December 20
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Dec 2025

This is the final week of legislative activity in the National Congress, with a packed agenda. According to the President of Congress, Davi Alcolumbre (União–AP), Congress may vote on the 2026 Federal Budget on Wednesday or Thursday. The Lower House may vote on a bill providing for a 10% across-t...

Motta has been criticized for not terminating the mandates of some representatives, the Sentencing bill may be put to a vote, and next week is the last week of legislative activity before the recess
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 12 Dec 2025

The President of the Lower House, Hugo Motta (Republicanos–PB), has come under criticism from both allies and opposition lawmakers over how the proceedings involving the possible removal of mandates have been handled. Next week will be marked by intense political negotiations in Brasília. It will...

Justice Gilmar partially reversed his decision on the impeachment law, the Senate approved the proposal reducing the work week, and the Senate also approved the Anti-Gang bill
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 11 Dec 2025

Supreme Federal Court (STF) Justice Gilmar Mendes decided yesterday to partially reverse his own injunction that had suspended portions of the law governing the impeachment of public officials. Yesterday, the Senate’s Constitution and Justice Committee (CCJ) approved a proposed constitutional ame...

The Lower House approved a bill that reduces penalties for attempted coup d’états, the House also approved the bill on persistent tax debtors, and the House may vote on a bill cutting tax benefits
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 10 Dec 2025

The Lower House approved a bill that reduces penalties for individuals convicted of attempting a coup d’état. The vote came after a meeting between Senator and presidential pre-candidate Flavio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) and the leaders of the PP, Ciro Nogueira (PP-PI), and União Brasil, Antonio Rueda. Th...

Centrist parties approach Flavio Bolsonaro’s candidacy with caution, the House president will meet with the Tax Reform rapporteur, and two major tax benefits bills are being considered in the Lower House
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Dec 2025

When Flavio Bolsonaro announced his candidacy on Friday, the market reacted sharply and negatively. But there is resistance within the political arena, as well. Yesterday, Flavio scheduled a meeting with leaders from Centrist parties, but some chose not to attend. Today, the President of the Lowe...

Public security as a political asset and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 08 Dec 2025

This is the penultimate week of activity in the National Congress. In the Lower House, lawmakers may vote on the bill that regulates the Tax Reform and another that deals with tax benefits. In the Senate, the bill taxing betting companies and fintechs may complete its legislative process. In the ...

Senator Flavio Bolsonaro announced he may run for president next year, the House President will meet with the Tax Reform rapporteur, and the STF will review the impeachment law for justices
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 08 Dec 2025

On Friday, December 5, Senator Flavio Bolsonaro’s (PL-RJ) announcement of his pre-candidacy surprised both the market and the political establishment. However, on Sunday, December 7, in an interview, he admitted he may withdraw from the race — but said such a move comes with a price: amnesty for ...

Congress approved the Budget Guidelines Bill, the House will discuss creating a committee on Tax Reform, and discussions continue on the impeachment procedure for Supreme Court justices
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 05 Dec 2025

Congress completed yesterday the approval of the 2026 Budget Guidelines Bill (PLDO), which now includes a schedule for the payment of parliamentary amendments — a key demand from lawmakers ahead of next year’s elections. In the Lower House, President Hugo Motta (Republicanos–PB) is expected to me...

Justice Gilmar’s decision has raised tensions between the branches of government, the STF reviews the Eletrobras case, and the truckers’ strike should be timid
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 04 Dec 2025

A new clash between the Supreme Federal Court (STF) and Congress has heightened institutional tensions. Justice Gilmar Mendes, in a single-justice decision, ruled that only the Prosecutor General may file criminal charges against an STF justice. He also determined that the impeachment of a justic...

The Planalto Palace has secured more time for Messias’s confirmation hearing, the Senate approved the bill that taxes fintechs, and the House approved the environmental licensing bill
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 03 Dec 2025

The government’s maneuver worked, and the Planalto Palace secured more time for Jorge Messias’s confirmation hearing for the Supreme Federal Court (STF). Initially, the president of Congress, Davi Alcolumbre (União–AP), had scheduled the hearing for December 10. But because President Lula did not...

The PL party will hold an emergency meeting today to discuss Michelle Bolsonaro’s criticism of Ciro Gomes, the House discusses the Public Security PEC, and the Senate discusses the bill that taxes fintechs
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 02 Dec 2025

A new rift has emerged within the opposition. The Liberal Party (PL) is holding an emergency meeting this afternoon in Brasília to discuss Michelle Bolsonaro’s public criticism of the PL’s alliance with Ciro Gomes (PSDB). Hugo Motta (Republicanos–PB), President of the Lower House, stated that tod...

The government-STF-Senate coalition is at risk and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Dec 2025

The first days of December mark the final stretch of the Legislative Branch’s agenda. Negotiations are intensifying around the Budget Guidelines Law, the 2026 Federal Budget, and revenue-raising measures. The Lower House may vote on a bill targeting persistent tax debtors. Jorge Messias, the appo...

Messias’s appointment to the STF is facing strong resistance in the Senate, the Senate will resume discussions of the bill that taxes fintechs, and the rapporteur of the Anti-Faction bill should submit his report this week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Dec 2025

The appointment of the Attorney General, Jorge Messias, to the Supreme Federal Court (STF) is facing strong resistance in the Federal Senate. The President of the Senate, Davi Alcolumbre (União–AP), had been advocating for Senator Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD–MG) for the vacancy. The Senate’s Economic Af...

Congress overturned Lula’s vetoes of the environmental licensing bill, Congressman Aguinaldo may present his report on the AI bill next week, and the Senate will analyze the bill that taxes fintechs and bets
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 Nov 2025

The government suffered new defeats in Congress. Lawmakers overturned President Lula’s vetoes of the environmental licensing bill (PL 2159/21), except for the provisions related to the Special Environmental Licensing (LAE), which are addressed in Provisional Measure 1308/25. Next week marks the b...

Bolsonaro begins serving his 27-year sentence, the latest poll shows Tarcísio and Ratinho Jr. are the most competitive right-wing candidates, and the Senate Plenary approved a bill regulating special retirement rules for health agents
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 Nov 2025

Justice Alexandre de Moraes yesterday ordered the start of sentence enforcement for those convicted in the so-called “Core 1” of the attempted coup, including former President Jair Bolsonaro and Generals Braga Netto and Augusto Heleno. A new CNT/MDA poll on the 2026 race was released yesterday. A...

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