A difficult runoff for Lula and other weekly topics

BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 14 Sep 2026 by Murillo de Aragão and Cristiano Noronha

The Supreme Federal Court (STF) will decide whether to investigate Justice Alexandre de Moraes based on a Federal Police report pointing to an alleged connection between him and former banker Daniel Vorcaro, who is currently in custody. On the economic front, attention will focus on the Central Bank meeting to decide the benchmark interest rate.

This week's Talking Points:

 * The Moraes Case: Supreme Court decision scenarios and their impact on the presidential race.

 * The STF crisis and public opinion.

 * A series of crises increases pressure on Lula.

 * Lula seeks to narrow the gap in the South.

* A runoff will likely be difficult for Lula.

* Flávio vs. Lula in key states.

 * Few changes — if any — in the next Lower House.

Now read on...

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