Israeli geopolitics: Reconfiguring the Middle East and its strategic implications

ISRAEL - Report 03 Jun 2025 by Sani Ziv

Key takeaways from this report:

- President Trump’s visit to Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar signaled a strategic realignment. It underscored growing divergence with Israel over Gaza and elevated the Gulf states as central partners in regional innovation and diplomacy.

- Trump’s meeting with President al-Sharaa marked a dramatic shift: U.S. recognition, sanction relief, and renewed diplomatic ties. This bolsters Syria’s quest for normalization and could realign regional power dynamics, including Israeli strategy.

- While negotiations over uranium enrichment limits remain unresolved, both sides still have strategic incentives to reach a deal.

- Hezbollah faces internal political isolation and post-war recovery demands. Lebanese leaders and Western diplomats are pressing for its marginalization. Still, Hezbollah’s unpredictable behavior remains a risk amid growing constraints.

- Despite a declared shift to political engagement, skepticism persists over the PKK’s demilitarization. Turkey views it as a win, but Israeli concerns are growing over Ankara's expanding military footprint in Syria.

- From Gaza to Syria, Israel finds itself reacting to—rather than shaping—regional shifts. Trump’s personal diplomacy is driving a “Middle East reconfiguration” with Israel increasingly sidelined from key strategic developments.

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