Volatile politics, stagnant economy
The July Ankara NATO summit ostensibly aims to convince Trump that the best interests of the US are served by remaining and nurturing NATO. In fact, the summit will also celebrate Erdogan’s return to Western alliances, as a fully committed member willing to lift its share of the burden. Turkey’s brief experiment with Eurasian-ism is over, with the nation now firmly moving back to reengage with the US, NATO and the EU.
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There is not a whole lot to report on the econ side. On the economic activity front, April production indices point to a weak start into Q2, the highly volatile nature of the monthly data notwithstanding. Manufacturing sector confidence also appears to have weakened in Q2 as a whole, compared with the first quarter of the year, though the weakness does not seem particularly pronounced.
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