BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
The Trump administration revoked the visa of Brazil’s ambassador to the U.S., Justice Dino authorized the opening of a new investigation into Lulinha, and Flávio Bolsonaro may announce his running mate
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 05 Aug 2026
The Donald Trump administration revoked the visa of Brazil’s ambassador to the United States in retaliation for Brazil’s refusal last month to grant visas to two U.S. diplomats who intended to visit the country ahead of the upcoming presidential election. The Brazilian government accused the Trum...
Party negotiations continue to intensify over the next two days, the Federal Police asked the STF to open another investigation into Lula’s son, and the Copom meets to decide on the benchmark interest rate
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 04 Aug 2026
Today is the second-to-last day for political parties to hold their national conventions. Negotiations are expected to intensify over the next two days. Senator Tereza Cristina (PP-MS) said yesterday that she still believes there is a possibility of being chosen as the vice-presidential running m...
A pivotal week for Flávio and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 03 Aug 2026
The period for party conventions ends on Wednesday (August 5). This will be a decisive week for Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), who is seeking to bring the União Progressista Federation (União Brasil–PP) and the Republicanos party onto his presidential ticket. Congress and the Judiciary resume the...
The PT officially launched Lula’s reelection bid, the first presidential debate is scheduled for August 23, and the Copom will meet to decide on the benchmark interest rate this week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 03 Aug 2026
At the PT's national convention held this Sunday (August 2) in São Paulo, the party officially launched President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's (PT) bid for reelection. Vice President Geraldo Alckmin (PSB) will once again serve as his running mate, recreating the ticket that won the 2022 election. ...
Senator Tereza Cristina may have been chosen as Flávio Bolsonaro’s VP, Wednesday is the deadline for parties to formally nominate candidates, and Justice Mendonça has opened an investigation into Lula’s son
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 31 Jul 2026
Senator Tereza Cristina (PP-MS) met with presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) to discuss the possibility of joining his ticket as the vice-presidential nominee. So far, there has been no confirmation that she has been chosen for the position. Wednesday is the deadline for political partie...
Bolsonaro’s defense stated he did not authorize the use of his image in the AI video shown during the PL convention, Flávio Bolsonaro will support Tarcísio’s reelection bid, and the PSB endorsed Lula’s candidacy
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 30 Jul 2026
Yesterday, former President Jair Bolsonaro's (PL) legal team filed a petition with the Brazilian Supreme Federal Court (STF) stating that he did not authorize the use of his image or voice in an artificial intelligence-generated video shown during the PL convention that formally nominated Senator...
Minister Durigan extended the Desenrola program until August 31, Justice Moraes gave Bolsonaro 48 hours to clarify the use of his image in his son’s campaign, and the U.S. extended the emergency that allows for tariffs
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 29 Jul 2026
Finance Minister Dario Durigan confirmed yesterday that the current edition of Desenrola Brasil, the federal program that allows consumers to renegotiate bank debts, will be extended until August 31, the expiration date of the provisional measure (MP) that created the initiative. Supreme Federal ...
Justice Marques is the rapporteur for the lawsuit against Flávio Bolsonaro’s campaign, the Novo party nominated Zema as its presidential candidate, and the CNPS will meet to decide on payroll-deductible loans for INSS retirees
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 Jul 2026
Justice Nunes Marques, president of the Superior Electoral Court (TSE), has been selected as the rapporteur for a lawsuit filed by the Workers' Party (PT) against the presidential campaign of Flávio Bolsonaro (PL). During the party convention last Saturday (July 25), the campaign used an artifici...
Challenges remain for Flávio and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 Jul 2026
The Novo Party is scheduled to hold its national convention today (July 27) to formally confirm Romeu Zema as its presidential nominee. On Saturday (August 1), the Republicanos party will officially endorse Tarcísio de Freitas's bid for reelection as governor of São Paulo. Four presidential polls...